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Ev sales in India expected to reach 20 million by 2030

From 0.6 million in 2022 to 0.8 million in 2023, 1.1 million in 2024, and 14.4 million in 2030, sales of electric two-wheelers are predicted to increase.
PrashantPrashant29-Sep-23 1:51 PM
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Ev sales in India expected to reach 20 million by 2030

By 2030, India's annual sales of

electric vehicles

are projected to be close to 20 million units, with the majority of those sales coming from electric two- and three-wheelers.


According to Kaushik Madhavan, Global Head and Vice President, of the  Consulting, Automotive and Transportation, MarketsandMarkets Research, "Growth in EV volumes will be driven by increased model availability, positive customer sentiments, and push from governments."


By then,

electric two-

and three-wheelers are anticipated to contribute more than 90% of the yearly volumes. From 0.6 million in 2022 to 0.8 million in 2023, 1.1 million in 2024, and 14.4 million in 2030, sales of electric two-wheelers are predicted to increase. 


He predicted that mass, individual, and shared transit will all play a significant role in India's electrification in the years to come.


"While the most recent FAME subsidy reduction has had an impact on the sales of electric two-wheelers, I think it just has a passing effect. I'm hopeful that things will get better and that the volume will go up. Electric two-wheeler OEMs are now focusing on affordable electric two-wheelers for the Indian market after the FAME II subsidy was lowered, he said.


According to Madhavan, new business models are beginning to emerge in India's electric mobility sector, and localised aggregate development for EVs is reducing dependency on imports and developing domestic competencies and skills.


The creation of Centres of Excellence for e-mobility solutions is one of the crucial models. In R&D for EV aggregates for local and international markets, EV OEMs from all categories are spending. Additionally, collaborations are being established for data analytics/predictive maintenance products with academic institutions and technological start-ups.


The best course of action, according to him, is to concentrate on developing in India the skill and expertise necessary to provide cost-effective solutions exclusively for Indian clients.


Other methods include prioritising motor technology and segment clusters, collaborations with microfinance & NBFCs to help the purchase of electric two and three-wheelers in Tier 2 & 3 locations, and fleet electrification through institutional captive sales.


The circular economy will also play a major role in the development of e-mobility. According to Madhavan, one of the main elements influencing future investment in India would be the circularity of the whole value chain.


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